Time to COIN Another Strategy -- Now Apr 15 Written by: Diana West Friday, April 15, 2011 1:01 AM
Did we ever plan that it would be this long? What have we accomplished?
Come October, this war will have lasted a decade. Last month, the Iraq War passed the eight-year mark. During the Vietnam War, the question was whether there was any "light at the end of the tunnel." In these wars, we have to wonder whether there is any tunnel. If so, no one seems to be in any hurry to get out. Why? Why is it that we have come to accept war without end -- not to mention, I would (and do) argue, war without benefit? And why does it actually seem as though our leaders want it this way? There are reasons and they are shocking.
Falling apart, is that it, one of the reasons! Political calculation, are you serious? Of course no one wants it to fall apart on them, but what does the alternative choice look like... or what does "winning" look like? Keep reading, The fact is, so long as we are still in Iraq, still in Afghanistan, the policy born of neoconservatism's lights, embraced by nation-building Bushies, promulgated and entrenched by Gen. David Petraeus, still has a theoretical chance of working. A constant refrain from these camps is that prematurely withdrawing from either country would jeopardize what Petraeus has dubbed for more than four years "fragile and reversible" security gains. To them, staying forever is leaving too soon. It isn't so much that in withdrawal lies defeat; it's that in withdrawal lies confirmation of the defeat of their prized COIN strategy. In the strategy's defeat lies the abyss.
Here is where we need to stop for a second, or however long it takes to realize that defeat can equal a victory for us. So we leave both places, yes, "fragile and reversible" but we let the people there take control, its their land, thier country. The reason, I have come to the conclusion that 9-11 happened because of our presence over their many upon many years before that date. I will seek to further explain this in later posts, but the links of individuals I have provided will hopefully be some guidance to you, but Michael Sheuer Non-Intervention is the best place to start. So lets leave, then see what happens. But totally leave, and pursue the enemy on an "individual" level. This is an alternative. Is it not? To continue...
And so they must keep reality at bay. And they do that by keeping Iraq and Afghanistan a work in progress. As such, it is up to our troops to try harder to win "hearts and minds," walk more IED-strewn patrols, distribute more cash to make "them" like us, adopt more Shariah practices in dealing with Islam (as literally suggested by ISAF). In this way, the COINdinistas are hamster-footing it to keep the ride from stopping at any cost. That's their prerogative, but only until someone finds the courage to fire them. That won't happen until people connect the human toll of these wars -- ROE-related combat deaths, IED casualties, frequent unfriendly fire murders -- with dead-end COIN strategy. It's no secret. In a recent report on new military medical statistics that reveal a horrific spike in multiple amputations and genital injuries due to IEDs in Afghanistan, the Los Angeles Times noted: "Troops are increasingly vulnerable to injuries from such makeshift bombs as they mount foot patrols in an effort to win support from Afghan villagers, a key strategy in the counterinsurgency campaign."
Does this really sound like the best option, or does the alternative I offered seem even worse, if that is so, then how?
Either our representatives are as deeply vested in "success" as the military brass is, or they're too timid to demand answers. Just look what happened when Rep. Walter Jones, R-NC, expressed his frustration about war unending to Gen. Petraeus last month. "You know, 15, 16, 17 years, for God sakes, how much more can we take, how much more can we give treasure and blood?" asked Jones. Petraeus won the day by announcing, to great but irrelevant effect, that his own son had completed his first Afghanistan tour in November. "I don't think you win this war," Petraeus is quoted as saying in Bob Woodward's last book Obama's Wars. "I think you keep fighting. ... This is the kind of fight we're in for the rest of our lives and probably our kids' lives." This "kind of fight" -- COIN -- needs to stop, if only for the 11-year-olds.
It looks like either way, my solution or this one, "we're in for the rest of our lives and probably our kids lives" so why, why not try something different, I believe, and every American should at least consider, that the cost has already been to great! Defending a country is one thing, a forever presence in another country/countries is something totally different, is that so hard to understand! Find out how many countries the U.S. Army is in, and ask, do we really need to be there?
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